Summary
The UN famine-assessment system (IPC, with its Famine Review Committee) whose Gaza famine projections Chapter 1 of Debunking the Genocide Allegations argues were made in violation of its own protocols (Debunking the Genocide Allegations: A Reexamination of the Israel-Hamas War from October 7, 2023 to June 1, 2025, PDF p.22, p.31-38).
Details
- The IPC/FRC projected a cumulative total exceeding 78,582 hunger-related deaths in Gaza by January 17, 2025; the authors argue none materialised on GMOH or survey data (PDF p.22, p.33), the Spagat and Shikaki child-mortality point being carried at PDF p.32 with the authors’ own caveat that questions remain regarding the survey’s methodology and findings and that the data indicate this assuming the responses are honest and representative. Table 2’s own grand total in the original is 86,312, which does not reconcile with the 78,582 text figure (see the source page’s Open questions).
- Its December 2023 and March 2024 reports repeated the 500-trucks, 150-food pre-war baseline (PDF p.26) and concluded famine was imminent while stating the analysis could not benefit from representative non-trauma mortality evidence as its protocols intend (PDF p.31).
- The authors contrast Yemen, where the IPC treated under-five mortality of 1.03 per 10,000 a day as below the emergency threshold, and Sudan, where Phase 5 rested on a validated mortality study (PDF p.36-37).
Related pages
Debunking the Genocide Allegations: A Reexamination of the Israel-Hamas War from October 7, 2023 to June 1, 2025, Michael Spagat, Gaza Ministry of Health